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THIS POST IS A CRITICAL EVALUATION OF A PUBLISHED PAPER IN THE AAAS JOURNAL THAT ESTABLISHES THE CREDIBILITY OF CLIMATE SCIENCE WITH THE STATEMENT THAT “EVEN 50 YEAR OLD CLIMATE MODELS CORRECTLY PREDICTED GLOBAL WARMING.

LINK TO SOURCE: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/12/even-50-year-old-climate-models-correctly-predicted-global-warming

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE PAPER SAYS

Global temperatures have risen approximately 0.9°C since 1970, though some areas have warmed much more than others. Seven older models missed the mark by as much as 0.1°C per decade. But the accuracy of five of those forecasts improved enough to match observations when the scientists adjusted a key input to the models: how much climate-changing pollution humans have emitted over the years. That includes greenhouse gases and aerosols, tiny particles that reflect sunlight. Pollution levels hinge on a host of unpredictable factors. Emissions might rise or fall because of regulations, technological advances, or economic booms and busts. To take one example, Hausfather points to a famous 1988 model overseen by James Hansen predicted that if climate pollution kept rising at an even pace, average global temperatures today would be approximately 0.3°C warmer than they actually are. Most of this overshoot was caused not by a flaw in the model’s basic physics but because pollution levels changed in ways Hansen didn’t predict. For example, the model overestimated the amount of methane—a potent greenhouse gas—that would go into the atmosphere in future years. It also didn’t foresee a precipitous drop in planet-warming refrigerants like some Freon compounds after international regulations from the Montreal Protocol became effective in 1989.When Hausfather’s team set pollution inputs in Hansen’s model to correspond to actual historical levels, its projected temperature increases lined up with observed temperatures. The new findings echo the truth that climate models work but It’s still nice to see it confirmed.” Even today’s computer programs have some uncertainties. But, “We know enough to trust our climate models” and their message that urgent action is needed, he says.The new research is a useful exercise that “should provide some confidence that models can be used to help provide guidance regarding energy policies,” adds Hansen, now director of the Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions Program at Columbia University.

BLOGGER’S SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION OF THIS STATEMENT IN PLAIN ENGLISH

Yes there are gross errors and inaccurcies in climate model predictions but that’s not because the model is bad but because the there are large uncertainties in the data. Therefore that climate science predictions are wrong should be understood as uncertainty in the data but sadly, the stupid climate deniers don’t understand that and make the false claim that climate model predictions are not credible because of their prediction errors. Oh well! Deniers will be Deniers, I guess. May they burn in hell.

WHAT IS PRESENTED AS A CLIMATE SCIENCE PAPER TURNS OUT TO BE AN ATTACK ON SKEPTICAL EVALUATION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE WITH NAME CALLING AND WORDS LIKE “DENIER”. THE REAL QUESTION HERE IS WHY THE SCIENCE THAT IS SO VERY CORRECT AND CREDIBLE NEEDS TO BE PROTECTED FROM CRITICAL EVALUATION IN THIS WAY.

LINK TO RELATED POST ON THE AAAS: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/04/06/the-corruption-of-science/

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/10/21/climate-change-and-religion/

THIS POST IS A CRITICAL EVALUATION OF A TOMO NEWS USA ARTICLE ABOUT THE THWAITES GLACIER AKA “THE DOOMSDAY GLACIER: LINK: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qA857MND1oA

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE ARTICLE SAYS:

Climate change isn’t the only factor melting the Thwaites Glacier, according to a new study from the Earth Communications and Environment journal. Rather, the Earth itself may also be warming the massive block of Antarctic ice, which is colloquially known as the “Doomsday Glacier.” According to the study, the crust beneath west Antarctica is between 10 to 15 miles or 17 to 25 kilometers thick compared with around 25 miles or 40 kilometers in the East and this means that substantially more heat from below can access the West than can access the East. The researchers found that a geothermal heat flow of up to 150 milliwatts per square meter can occur beneath Thwaites Glacier, according to the study’s lead author. SOURCES: NASA, Agence France Presse, Polar Portal, Nature, Deutsche Welle, NASA, The Guardian, Science Advances, Communications, Earth and Environment journal, Alfred Wegener Institute, Science Magazine, Science Alert, Oceanographic Magazine, Live Science, Business Insider

PART-2: RELATED POSTS

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/09/18/the-climate-science-obsession-with-the-thwaites-glacier/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/07/climate-change-threatens-polar-ice/

LINK#3: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/06/27/antarctica/

LINK#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/02/09/antarctica-threatens-florida/

LINK#5: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/11/global-warming-dec2020/

LINK#6: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/08/06/the-sea-level-rise-issue/

PART-3: CRITICAL COMMENTARY

WE SHOW IN RELATED POSTS #1, #2, AND #4, THAT THE CLIMATE SCIENCE POSITION THAT THESE GLACIAL ICE MELT EVENTS IN ANTARCTICA CAN BE ASSUMED TO BE A DRIVEN BY GLOBAL WARMING IS NOT POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF SIGNIFICANT GEOLOGICAL ACTIVITY IN THE REGION AND UNDER THE THWAITES GLACIER. IN RELATED POST#5 WE SHOW THAT THERE IS NO GLOBAL WARMING IN ANTARCTICA; AND IN RELATED POST#6 WE PRESENT THE THE HISTORICAL DETAILS OF THE EEMIAN INTERGLACIAL THAT LED TO THE ANTICIPATION OF SIGNIFICANT SEA LEVEL RISE FROM ICE MELT IN ANTARCTICA IN THE HOLOCENE BUT AS IT TURNED OUT THESE TWO INTERGLACIALS ARE VERY DIFFERENT AND THE ANTICIPATION OF EEMIAN REALITIES IN THE HOLOCENE TURNED OUT TO BE UNREALISTIC AS WELL AS INCONSISTENT WITH HOLOCENE REALITIES.

IN RELATED POST#3 WE DESCRIBE THE DETAILS OF THE GEOLOGICAL FEATURES OF ANTARCTICA IN THE REGION WHERE THE THWAITES IS LOCATED WITH SIGNIFICANT EVIDENCE THAT GEOTHERMAL HEAT AND NOT ATMOSPHERIC PHENOMENA ARE THE LIKELY DRIVERS OF ICE MELT IN THAT GEOLOGICALLY ACTIVE REGION. THESE DATA TAKEN TOGETHER PROVIDE CONVINCING EVIDENCE THAT THE MELT EVENTS OBSERVED IN THE BOTTOM OF THE THWAITES ARE GEOTHERMAL PHENOMENA AND NOT ATMOSPHERIC PHENOMENA.

WHAT WE SEE IN THE ARTICLE BEING REVIEWED IS THAT THE OVERWHELMING EVIDENCE OF GEOLOGICAL DRIVERS OF MELT IN THE THWAITES CAN NO LONGER BE DENIED AND SO IT HAS BEEN ACCEPTED WITH THE FACE SAVING BUT ILLOGICAL CLAIM THAT THE GEOLOGICAL DRIVERS OF ICE MELT ARE INCREASING THE RATE OF ICE MELT IN THE THWAITES SO AS TO STILL CLING TO THEIR FALSE ORIGINAL THEORY OF GLOBAL WARMING AS THE DRIVER OF ICE MELT IN THE BOTTOM OF THE THAWAITES.

HUMAN CAUSE: THE REAL ISSUE HERE IS HUMAN CAUSE BECAUSE WITHOUT EVIDENCE OF HUMAN CAUSE OF THE WARMING TREND, WHATEVER IMPACTS THE WARMING MAY HAVE ARE ALL NATURAL.

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/11/09/the-issue-is-human-cause/

IN THE CONTEXT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF THE EVIL HUMANS DESCRIBED IN TERMS OF THE GREAT PACIFIC GARBAGE PATCH AS IN “THE GREAT PACIFIC GARBAGE PATCH ILLUSTRATES THE EFFECTS THAT WE HUMANS HAVE HAD ON THE MARINE ENVIRONMENT LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC OCEAN IS THE LARGEST OF FIVE GARBAGE PATCHES CALLED THE GREAT PACIFIC GARBAGE PATCH.

IN THE CONTEXT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL ALARM ABOUT THE GREAT PACIFIC GARBAGE PATCH (GPGP), AS SOMETHING THAT WILL DESTROY OR COMPROMISE THE NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH OF THE OCEAN, WE PRESENT A CRITICAL EVALUATION OF THIS ASSESSMENT AS FOLLOWS.

FIRST, THE WEIGHT OF THE GARBAGE IN THE GPGP IS 80,000 TONNES. EVEN AS WE WORRY ABOUT THE HORRIFIC ENVIRONMENTALISM EVALUATION OF SUCH A LARGE PATCH OF GARBAGE IN THE OCEAN, WE SHOULD CONSIDER THAT WE DUMP 8E6 TONNES OF PLASTIC INTO THE OCEAN EVERY YEAR. THIS MEANS THAT THE WEIGHT OF THE GPGP IS 1% OF THE WEIGHT OF PLASTIC WE DUMP IN THE OCEAN EVERY YEAR.

YET ANOTHER ISSUE IS THAT THE WEIGHT OF FISH IN THE OCEAN IS 2E9 TONNES. THEREFORE, THE GPGP IS 0.004% OF THE WEIGHT OF THE FISH IN THE OCEAN AND THE PLASTIC WE DUMP INTO THE OCEAN EVERY YEAR IS 0.4% OF THE WEIGHT OF FISH IN THE OCEAN MEANING IT WILL TAKE US 250 YEARS OF DUMPING PLASTIC TO BREAK EVEN WITH THE FISH NOT CONSIDERING THE “MISSING PLASTIC ISSUE” WHICH SAYS THAT WE CAN’T ACCOUNT FOR 99% OF THE PLASTIC WE THROW INTO THE OCEAN. IT JUST DISAPPEARS.

WE ARE ALSO TOLD THAT THE GPGP IS ONE OF 5 GARBAGE PATCHES IN THE OCEAN WITH THE OTHER 4 PATCHES SMALLER THAN THE GPGP. BUT EVEN IF THEY WERE EQUAL TO THE GPGP IN WEIGHT, WHAT WE HAVE IS A TOTAL OF 400,000 TONNES OR 4E5 TONNES AND THAT ADDS UP TO 0.2% OF THE WEIGHT OF THE FISH.

WE SHOULD ALSO CONSIDER THAT THE WEIGHT OF THE WATER IN THE OCEAN IS 1.4E18 TONNES. THIS MEANS THAT THE WEIGHT OF THE 5 GARBAGE PATCHES TOGETHER OF 4E5 TONNES IS 0.000000000285% OF THE WEIGHT OF THE OCEAN. EXPRESSED ANOTHER WAY, FOR GARBAGE PATCHES TO GET ALL THE WAY UP TO 1% OF THE OCEAN, WE WILL NEED BILLIONS OF GARBAGE PATCHES.

CONCLUSION: A GARBAGE PATCH IN THE MIDDLE OF THE OCEAN IS NOT A PRETTY SIGHT BUT FOR IT TO CONSTITUTE POLLUTION THAT NEEDS WORRYING ABOUT, WE NEED A LOT MORE GARBAGE THAT WILL PROBABLY TAKE HUMANITY BILLIONS AND BILLIONS OF YEARS TO PRODUCE. THE OCEAN IS A LOT BIGGER THAN WE THINK IT IS.

YET ANOTHER ISSUE IS THAT WE DON’T REALLY KNOW THE OCEAN. HUMANITY HAS JUST BEGUN TO EXPLORE THE OCEAN AT ANY DEPTH. WE MAY HAVE TO WAIT A FEW CENTURIES BEFORE WE KNOW WHAT THE OCEAN LOOKS LIKE AND HOW IT WORKS.

WITH RESPECT TO OUR IGNORANCE OF THE OCEAN, AND THAT WE ARE ONLY NOW JUST BEGINNING TO UNDERSTAND THE OCEAN, WE PRESENT A RECENT NYT ARTICLE

LINK TO SOURCE: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/science/ocean-bioluminescent-satellite.html

HERE IS WHAT IT SAYS

Satellites Spot Oceans Aglow With Trillions of Organisms. A new generation of detectors let scientists identify a dozen large episodes of bioluminescence, one a hundred times larger than Manhattan — and that’s the smallest. The ocean has always glowed. The Greeks and Romans knew of luminous sea creatures as well as the more general phenomenon of seawater that can light up in bluish-green colors. Charles Darwin, as he sailed near South America on a dark night aboard the H.M.S. Beagle, encountered luminescent waves. He called it “a wonderful and most beautiful spectacle.” As far as the eye could see, he added, “the crest of every wave was bright” so much so that the “livid flames” lit the sky. Now, scientists report that ocean bioluminescence can be so intense and massive in scale that satellites orbiting five hundred miles high can see glowing mats of microorganisms as they materialize in the seas. Last month in the journal Scientific Reports, eight investigators told of finding a luminous patch south of Java in 2019 that grew to be larger than the combined areas of Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut. “It was an epiphany. It is a hidden wonder of nature comes to light. The close examination of images from satellites let them identify significant events in the ocean with this new window on the world’s oceans. Tracking and studing of the glowing seas is a new area of scientific research. This discovery is a big step toward being able to understand an enduring mystery of the sea. If allowed to multiply, microbes can suddenly light up as if a switch were thrown. Maybe the glittering masses of bacteria lure fish, whose guts provide nourishing habitats. This trail of discovery began nearly two decades ago when a lunchtime chat raised the question of whether sea bioluminescence might be visible from space.

BOTTOM LINE: WE ARE ONLY NOW JUST BEGINNING TO UNDERSTAND THE OCEAN AND ALL ALONG OUR JUDGEMENTS ABOUT HUMANS TRASHING THE OCEAN WERE MADE WITHOUT THE INFORMATION NEEDED TO MAKE SUCH ASSESSMENTS. THAT SUCH UNSUBSTANTIATED GUESSWORK SELLS FEAR MONGERING FORECASTS AS SCIENCE IS THE EVIDENCE THAT WE HUMANS, THOUGH RATIONAL, CARRY AN IRRATIONAL FEAR BOMB IN OUR OTHERWISE RATIONAL THOUGHT PROCESSES.

A QUESTION ABOUT A CLIMATE IMPACT ASSESSMENT

How do skeptics respond to these climate impact assessments by climate science?

ANSWER

It doesn’t really matter what climate change deniers think about climate scientists. The deniers are hostile, biased idiots. They will make up any shit possible to malign people who disagree with their dishonest, counter-factual and often amoral positions. It’s not worth diving into the cesspool of their limited brains. As the saying goes, wrestle with pigs, and you’ll end up covered in shit and they’ll be happy. Just ignore them. Ghost them. Block them. Mute them. Don’t engage. Focus on solutions. Deniers are a dying breed. Let them die ignored, alone and bitter.

RELATED COMMENTS

It’s time again to play Whack-a-Climate-Change Denier, the exciting arcade game where climate change deniers gopher up on questions and spout inanities. How significant will the Glasgow COP26 conference in November be? Will any agreements made there replace or add to the Paris climate agreement? Get to whacking people! That will help. You could win a stuffed bear, a livable climate, or a Quora safe for climate information unpolluted by deniers. Quora needs to ban climate deniers.

TRANSLATION:

WE CAN’T COME UP WITH A RATIONAL RESPONSE TO CLIMATE DENIAL SO WE JUST HAVE TO GET RID OF THEM.

{does safe for climate information mean unsafe for deniers?}

THIS POST IS A CRITICAL EVALUATION OF A MEDIA REPORT ON THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON HURRICANES

LINK TO SOURCE: https://edition.cnn.com/2021/08/21/weather/hurricane-henri-climate-change/index.html

PART-1: WHAT THE SOURCE ARTICLE SAYS:

How the climate crisis is changing hurricanes, CNN, August 21, 2021. Hurricanes — also called tropical cyclones or typhoons outside North America — are enormous heat engines of wind and rain that feed on warm ocean water and moist air. And scientists say the climate crisis is making them more potent. The proportion of high-intensity hurricanes has increased due to warmer global temperatures, according to a UN climate report released earlier this month. Scientists have also found that the storms are more likely to stall and lead to devastating rainfall and they last longer after making landfall. Interactive: Hurricanes are becoming more dangerous. Here’s why. “We have good confidence that greenhouse warming increases the maximum wind intensity that tropical cyclones can achieve,” Jim Kossin, senior scientist with the Climate Service, an organization that provides climate risk modeling and analytics to governments and businesses, told CNN. “This, in turn, allows for the strongest hurricanes — which are the ones that create the most risk by far — to become even stronger.” Scientists like Kossin have observed that, globally, a larger percentage of storms are reaching the highest categories — 3, 4 and 5 — in recent decades, a trend that’s expected to continue as global average temperature increases. They are also shifting closer to the poles, moving more slowly across land, growing wetter, and stalling in one location, Kossin found. “There’s evidence that tropical cyclones are more likely to stall,” said Kossin, naming hurricanes Harvey, in 2017, Florence, in 2018, and Dorian, in 2019, as examples. Hurricane Harvey dumped more than 60 inches of rain on some parts of Texas, causing about $125 billion in damages, according to the National Hurricane Center, and killing more than 100 people. Evacuees wade down a submerged section of Interstate 610 in Houston after Hurricane Harvey in 2017 caused widespread flooding. Evacuees wade down a submerged section of Interstate 610 in Houston after Hurricane Harvey in 2017 caused widespread flooding. “All of these were devastating to the places where they stalled,” he added. “The combination of slower movement and more rain falling out of them increases coastal and inland flooding risk tremendously.” A 2020 study published in the journal Nature also found storms are moving farther inland than they did five decades ago. Hurricanes, which are fueled by warm ocean water, typically weaken after moving over land, but in recent years they have been raging longer after landfall. The study concludes that warmer sea surface temperatures are leading to a “slower decay” by increasing moisture that a hurricane carries. And as storms like Henri makes landfall, torrential rain, damaging winds and storm surge become the most significant, often pernicious, threats. Storm surge, produced by wind blowing ocean water onshore is also expected to get worse over time due to stronger hurricane winds and climate change-fueled sea level rise, according to Kerry Emanuel, a professor of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “It’s a very dangerous phenomenon,” he said. “And it’s responsible for a lot of the loss of life in the storms.” For every fraction of a degree the planet warms, according to the UN report, rainfall rates from high-intensity storms will increase, as warmer air can hold more moisture. Earlier this week, what had been Tropical Storm Fred dumped more than 10 inches of rain on western North Carolina, according to the National Weather Service, which pushed the Pigeon River near Canton 9 feet above flood stage and killed at least four people. The science behind climate change attribution, which attempts to determine how much of a role it played in extreme weather, has made significant advances in the past decade, according to the UN climate report. Heat waves, flooding, drought and higher coastal storm surge are things that scientists are more confident now in linking to climate change. But there are still some questions around hurricane development that need answers, according to Emanuel. “Knowing where they develop and where they move is critical to understanding the threat,” Emanuel said. “So we have to take into account changing tracks, changing intensity, changing frequency, and changing genesis — and we’re confident about some of them and we’re not so confident about other elements.” In the aftermath of Hurricane Florence in 2017, Bob Richling carries Iris Darden out of her flooded North Carolina home as her daughter-in-law, Pam Darden, gathers her belongings. In the aftermath of Hurricane Florence in 2017, Bob Richling carries Iris Darden out of her flooded North Carolina home as her daughter-in-law, Pam Darden, gathers her belongings. Although it’s hard for scientists to tell whether odd storm tracks in the North Atlantic, like Henri’s, are becoming more frequent because of climate change, long-term changes along the coast in the Northeast will ultimately influence the storms that do make landfall there. “One thing that we might be able to speculate on is that the very unusually warm ocean along the US Northeast coast and Canada has a likely human fingerprint on it,” Kossin added. “These warm waters should allow Henri to maintain greater intensity as it moves northward.” Bob, in 1991, was the last hurricane that made landfall in the New England region. However, Irene, in 2011, and Sandy, in 2012, were destructive for the Northeast when they came ashore, even though they did not make landfall as hurricanes. Earth is warming faster than previously thought, scientists say, and the window is closing to avoid catastrophic outcomes Earth is warming faster than previously thought, scientists say, and the window is closing to avoid catastrophic outcomes The 2020 hurricane season tore through the alphabet so quickly that it was forced to use Greek letters as names from September through November. This year’s season is already above average: Atlantic storms beginning with the letter H typically occur toward the end of September, meaning Henri formed more than a month ahead of average. As the planet rapidly warms, extreme weather events will become more disastrous and possibly harder to predict. Unless climate and emergency management policies are fixed, Emanuel says infrastructure damage and potential loss of life will increase. “The forecasters’ nightmare is going to bed with a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico, headed toward a populated area, and waking up with a Category 4,” Emanuel said. “And as the climate warms, that becomes more and more likely.”

PART-2: RELATED POSTS ON TROPICAL CYCLONES: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/01/30/list-of-posts-on-tropical-cyclones/

1. TRENDS IN TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/11/28/trends-in-tropical-cyclone-activity/
2. TROPICAL CYCLONES AND SST: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/03/22/ace-sst/
3. TROPICAL CYCLONES OF THE PRE-INDUSTRIAL ERA: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/04/04/1737/
4. TROPICAL CYCLONES AND CLIMATE CHANGE 2019: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/08/01/tropical-cyclones-climate-change/
5. TROPICAL CYCLONES AND CLIMATE CHANGE 2020: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/04/agwcyclones/
6. A FAILED OBSESSION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/09/20/a-failed-obsession-with-tropical-cyclones/
7. THE HURRICANE OBSESSION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/11/14/hurricane-obsession/
8. CLIMATE CHANGE AND HURRICANES: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/09/18/climate-change-hurricanes/
9. TOTAL HURRICANE ENERGY AND FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS: https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/09/15/emissions-hurricanes/
10. WHAT TOM KNUTSON SAYS: “Tropical cyclones and climate change.” Nature geoscience 3.3 (2010): 157-163. In the paper, Tom Knutson spells out exactly what climate science claims in terms of the impact of AGW climate change on tropical cyclones with climate model predictions of the effect of rising SST on tropical cyclones. His main points are as follows: (1) Globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones will rise as AGW increases SST. Models predict globally averaged intensity increase of 2% to 11% by 2100. (2). Models predict falling globally averaged frequency of tropical cyclones with frequency decreasing 6%-34% by 2100. (3). The globally averaged frequency of “most intense tropical cyclones” should increase as a result of AGW. The intensity of tropical cyclones is measured as the ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy). (4). Models predict increase in precipitation within a 100 km radius of the storm center. A precipitation rise of 20% is projected for the year 2100. (5) Extremely high variance in tropical cyclone data at an annual time scale suggests longer, perhaps a decadal time scale which in turn greatly reduces statistical power. (6) Model projections for individual cyclone basins show large differences and conflicting results. Thus, no testable implication can be derived for studies of individual basins. NOTE: CO-AUTHORS INCLUDE EMANUEL, KOSSIN,

PART-3: CRITICAL COMMENTARY

THE ESSENCE OF THE CLIMATE SCIENCE POSITION FOUND IN THE KNUTSON ETAL 2010 PAPER IS THAT THE IMPACT OF AGW ON TROPICAL CYCLONES MUST BE MEASURED AS THE ACE FOR ALL TROPICAL CYCLONES WORLDWIDE IN ALL SIX CYCLONE BASINS VIZ: NORTH ATLANTIC, SOUTH ATLANTIC, WEST PACIFIC, NORTH INDIAN, SOUTH INDIAN, SOUTH PACIFIC. A FUTHER HARD REQUIREMENT IS THAT DUE TO VERY LARGE DECADAL VARIABILITY, A STUDY PERIOD WITH A LONG TIME SPAN OF MORE THAN 40 YEARS IS NEEDED TO OVERCOME THE LARGE VARIANCE IN THE DATA.

SPECIFICALLY, DATA FOR A SINGLE CYCLONE SEASON IN A SINGLE CYCLONE BASIN DOES NOT CONTAIN INFORMATION ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING.

THE STUDY PRESENTED ABOVE BY KOSSIN, EMANUEL, AND CNN DO NOT MEET THESE REQUIREMENTS AND WE THEREFORE CONCLUDE THAT THEIR FIINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS ABOUT THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL WARMING ON TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE NOT CREDIBLE. QED.

TOM KNUTSON

IMAGES FROM THE RELATED POST ON TRENDS IN TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY LISTED ABOVE

HUMAN CAUSE: THE REAL ISSUE HERE IS HUMAN CAUSE BECAUSE WITHOUT EVIDENCE OF HUMAN CAUSE OF THE WARMING TREND, WHATEVER IMPACTS THE WARMING MAY HAVE ARE ALL NATURAL.

LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/11/09/the-issue-is-human-cause/

QUESTION

Would Ted Kaczynski be considered as an environmentalist?

ANSWER:

Ted Kaczynski the UNABOMBER was an environmentalist. This was the beginning of the anti industrial economy, anti economic growth, and anti fossil fuel activism that has grown into the environmentalism and the anti fossil fuel climate change movement of our time.

RELATED POST ON THE UNABOMBER MANIFESTO: LINK: https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/06/13/unabomber/

EXCERPT

THIS IS THE MANIFESTO THAT THE UNABOMBER WANTED PUBLISHED: The Industrial Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race. They have greatly increased the life-expectancy of those of us who live in “advanced” countries, but they have destabilized society, have made life unfulfilling, have subjected human beings to indignities, have led to widespread psychological suffering (in the Third World to physical suffering as well) and have inflicted severe damage on the natural world. The continued development of technology will worsen the situation. It will certainly subject human beings to greater indignities and inflict greater damage on the natural world, it will probably lead to greater social disruption and psychological suffering, and it may lead to increased physical suffering even in “advanced” countries. The industrial-technological system may survive or it may break down. If it survives, it MAY eventually achieve a low level of physical and psychological suffering, but only after passing through a long and very painful period of adjustment and only at the cost of permanently reducing human beings and many other living organisms to engineered products and mere cogs in the social machine. Furthermore, if the system survives, the consequences will be inevitable: There is no way of reforming or modifying the system so as to prevent it from depriving people of dignity and autonomy. If the system breaks down the consequences will still be very painful. But the bigger the system grows the more disastrous the results of its breakdown will be, so if it is to break down it had best break down sooner rather than later. We therefore advocate a revolution against the industrial system. This revolution may or may not make use of violence: it may be sudden or it may be a relatively gradual process spanning a few decades. We can’t predict any of that. But we do outline in a very general way the measures that those who hate the industrial system should take in order to prepare the way for a revolution against that form of society. This is not to be a POLITICAL revolution. Its object will be to overthrow not governments but the economic and technological basis of the present society. In this article we give attention to only some of the negative developments that have grown out of the industrial-technological system. Other such developments we mention only briefly or ignore altogether. This does not mean that we regard these other developments as unimportant. For practical reasons we have to confine our discussion to areas that have received insufficient public attention or in which we have something new to say. For example, since there are well-developed environmental and wilderness movements, we have written very little about environmental degradation or the destruction of wild nature, even though we consider these to be highly important.

THIS IS THE ORIGIN OF THE ANTI INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION MOVEMENT THAT HAS EVOLVED IN OUR TIME INTO THE ANTI INDUSTRIAL ECONOMY AND ANTI FOSSIL FUEL ACTIVISM OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE MOVEMENT.

THE ANTI INDUSTRIAL ECONOMY CLIMATE CHANGE MOVEMENT OF OUR TIME IS THE RE-INCARNATION OF THE UNABOMBER

THE UNABOMBER WAS A GENIUS

Ted Kaczynski, the UNABOMBER, did have a high I.Q., by some estimates into the 160’s. He was a Harvard graduate, mathematics prodigy, and math professor. His I.Q. tested at 167 in junior high school (well into the genius level). Even his classmates in high school considered him a “walking brain.” He skipped the 6th and 11th grade and graduated high school at 15. He entered Harvard on a scholarship at age 16. He had both a master’s and PhD from the University of Michigan. In 1967, at the age of 25, he became the youngest assistant professor at U.C., Berkeley.

With thanks to Ron Richards

THE QUORA QUESTION

How could Extinction Rebellion improve to get people to pay attention to their message rather than be annoyed by their actions?

ANSWER

Maybe they could be more polite about it but the real issue here I believe is James Lovelock and his Gaia hypothesis which says in essence that the real Bambi of Bambi environmentalism is the planet itself which he says, is a creature he calls GAIA that he says is alive but at the mercy of the humans because unrestrained and unsustainable growth of human civilization will do it in.

Once this bizarre hypothesis becomes your religion and you see your Goddess Gaia theatened by the humans, and the climate change movement brings it all together and identifies the devil in this threat to Gaia as fossil fuels, what would you, a devout follower of Gaia do?

In the context of your Gaia religion what would be excessive in your relgious activism to save Gaia? This is what we are dealing with. The Gaia religion has boarded the climate train. We are no longer dealing with climate science but with the religion it has become.

REPEAT: Once this bizarre hypothesis becomes your religion and you see your Goddess Gaia theatened by the humans, and the climate change movement brings it all together and identifies the devil in this threat to Gaia as fossil fuels, what would you, a devout follower of Gaia do?

In the context of your Gaia religion what would be excessive in your relgious activism to save Gaia? This is what we are dealing with. The Gaia religion has boarded the climate train. We are no longer dealing with THE SCIENCE OF CLIMATE SCIENCE BUT WITH THE RELIGION IT HAS BECOME. THE EXTINCTION REBELLION MOVEMENT MUST BE UNDERSTOOD AS RELIGION NO DIFFERENT FROM THE TALIBAN OR FROM ANY OF THE BIZARRE, DESTRUCTIVE, AND MURDEROUS RELIGIOUS ACTIVISM IN THE HISTORY OF THE HUMANS.

SEE ALSO: Michael E. Smith, Religious Activism: The Historical Record, 27 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 1087 (1986),
https://scholarship.law.wm.edu/wmlr/vol27/iss5/16

THIS POST IS A PRESENTATION OF PUBLISHED RESEARCH ON THE OBSERVATION THAT TREE GROWTH IS ACCELERTING AND THE ATTRIBUTION OF THE ACCELERATION TO RISING ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION WITH THE IMPLICATION THAT RISING ATMOSPHERIC CO2 IS SELF CORRECTING BY WAY OF THE HIGHER VEGETATION DRAWDOWN OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 AT HIGHER ATMOSPHERIC CO2 LEVELS.

CITATION:

ABSTRACT

Many forest ecosystems have experienced recent declines in productivity; however, in some alpine regions, tree growth and forest expansion are increasing at marked rates. Dendrochronological analyses at the upper limit of alpine forests in the Tibetan Plateau show a steady increase in tree growth since the early 1900s, which intensified during the 1930s and 1960s, and have reached unprecedented levels since 1760. This recent growth acceleration was observed in small/young and large/old trees and coincided with the establishment of trees outside the forest range, reflecting a connection between the physiological performance of dominant species and shifts in forest distribution. Measurements of stable isotopes (carbon, oxygen, and nitrogen) in tree rings indicate that tree growth has been stimulated by the synergistic effect of rising atmospheric CO2 and a warming-induced increase in water and nutrient availability from thawing permafrost. These findings illustrate the importance of considering soil-plant-atmosphere interactions to understand current and anticipate future changes in productivity and distribution of forest ecosystems.

SUPPORTING PAPERS

Koutavas, Athanasios. “Late 20th century growth acceleration in greek firs (Abies cephalonica) from Cephalonia Island, Greece: A CO2 fertilization effect?.” Dendrochronologia 26.1 (2008): 13-19. ABSTRACT; Abies cephalonica or greek fir is indigenous to the island of Cephalonia in the Ionian Sea, which gives the species its name. Here I report ring-width variations from eight trees growing between 1300 and 1600 m elevation on the southern slopes of Mt. Ainos on this island, indicating strong acceleration of growth over the second half of the 20th century. The sustained increase in growth since 1990 in particular is unprecedented over the full length of the dataset (1840–2005 AD). These trends bear no relationship to regional temperature or precipitation variations and therefore are unlikely to be climatically induced. Disturbance effects from human activities are also unlikely as the study site lies in a remote forest area with difficult access. A plausible alternative hypothesis is that the enhanced growth reflects a fertilization effect due to rising CO2 in the global atmosphere. Based on the timing of individual tree responses, it is further hypothesized that the crossing of a CO2 threshold was responsible for the enhanced growth, and that this threshold may be age dependent (decreasing with age). A more systematic sampling of the Mt. Ainos firs is needed to further test this hypothesis. If interpreted correctly the results imply that CO2 fertilization may already be an important factor in tree growth at this location.

Frank, David, Ulf Büntgen, and Jan Esper. “Comment on “Late 20th century growth acceleration in Greek firs (Abies cephalonica) from Cephalonica Island, Greece: a CO2 fertilization effect?”.” Dendrochronologia 27.3 (2009): 223-227. ABSTRACT:

In the recent article ‘‘Late 20th century growth acceleration in Greek firs (Abies cephalonica) from Cephalonia Island, Greece: A CO2 fertilization effect?’’ (Dendrochronologia 26(2008) 13–19) by Koutavas, a dataset of radial stem growth increment was presented. Eight individual trees, after detrending to remove the biological age trend, show a growth increase that is hypothesized to be related to CO2 fertilization. Such a conclusion, if correct, would be of great relevance towards understanding the impact of anthropogenic emissions on forest productivity, with consequences on the global carbon cycle, ecosystem functioning, land– atmosphere interactions, and climate model experiments. However, as suggested by the author, these results reflect a preliminary assessment of CO2 fertilization effects on tree growth. Here in, we expand upon known challenges in growth attribution, and bring attention to subtle though important methodological considerations, in using such tree-ring data to make conclusions about CO2 impacts on radial tree growth. These issues are: (i) few data, (ii) non-systematic consideration of environmental forcing factors and, (iii) end-effects in detrending. We suggest that these three factors reduce support for the conclusion that the Greek fir data from Cephalonia Island contain CO2 fertilization signals. {translation: maybe it’s not really CO2 fertilizaation after all but something else that we don’t yet understand.

Sullivan, Thomas P., and Druscilla S. Sullivan. “Acceleration of old-growth structural attributes in lodgepole pine forest: Tree growth and stand structure 25 years after thinning.” Forest Ecology and Management 365 (2016): 96-106. ABSTRACT: Acceleration of forest succession to develop late-seral structural characteristics in younger stands may be achieved by silvicultural practices such as pre-commercial thinning (PCT). Young second-growth stands of lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) range across several million ha of the inland Pacific Northwest of North America and respond positively to various stand treatments. Objectives of this project were that large-scale stand thinning to a wide range of densities, at a 25-year period after PCT, would enhance: (1) productivity and structural features (diameter and height growth, and crown volume and dimensions of crop trees; (2) merchantable volume of crop trees; and (3) development of old-growth structural attributes. Three stands thinned to densities of ∼500 (low), ∼1000 (medium), and ∼2000 (high) stems/ha at age 17 years, with an unthinned young pine and old-growth pine stand for comparison, were located near Penticton in south-central British Columbia. Lodgepole pine grew faster in mean diameter (cm) in the low- (13.89) than either of the medium- (10.2) or high-density (9.2) stands, but mean height growth increment (8.8–9.7 m) was similar over the 25-year period since PCT. Mean diameter was 2.2 times greater in the low-density stand than unthinned stand. The medium- and high-density stands also tended to have large diameters (1.7–1.9 times that of the unthinned stand) and crowns, but still with mean heights 5–6 m less than trees in the pine component of the old-growth stand. Mean merchantable stand volume (m3/ha) was 1.7–1.9 times higher in the medium- (231) and high-density (257) stands than low-density (137) stand, and comparable to the old-growth pine (225). Mean crown volume (m3) of crop trees was substantially greater in the low- (88) than in the medium- (27) and high-density (31), unthinned (4), or old-growth stands (4 pine only). Mean structural diversity of five layers of coniferous trees was highest in the low- and medium-density stands, with declining diversity from the high-density to unthinned to old-growth stands. In terms of old-growth structural attributes, large dominant trees with substantial crowns, multi-layered canopies of conifers, some canopy gaps, and understory patchiness of herbs and shrubs appeared in the heavily thinned (⩽1000 stems/ha) stands at 25 years post-thinning. These stands were 42 years old at this re-measurement, and hence were not considered “old-growth” but the heavily thinned stands seemed to have some old-growth structural attributes. Silvicultural trade-off of stand volume gain vs. old-growth attributes may be necessary for low-density stands.

THE VIEW FROM THE GUARDIAN

TRANSLATION: YES THERE IS CO2 FERTILIZATION BUT THAT IS BAD NEWS BECAUSE ACCELERATED GROWTH ALSO ACCELRATES DEATH.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION: THERE APPEARS TO BE SIGNIFICANT EVIDENCE THAT THE COMBINATION OF RISING ATMOSPHERIC CO2 AND WARMING IS ACCELERATING FOREST GROWTH AND THAT THIS SELF CORRECTING NATURE OF NATURE MAY NOT HAVE BEEN GIVEN DUE CONSIDERATION IN THE EVALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF FOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS.

THIS POST IS A PRESENTATION OF THE BOOK “BIG FAT SURPRISE” BY NINA TEICHOLZ AND ITS RELEVANCE TO CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE. THIS COMPARISON WAS SUGGESTED IN AN ONLINE DISCUSSION BY PETER KVINT WHO SUGGESTED THAT THE BAD SCIENCE IN CLIMATE CHANGE CAN BE UNDERSTOOD IN THE CONTEXT OF WHAT TEICHOLZ DISCOVERED IN THE SCIENCE OF NUTRITION

BOOK REVIEW BY TED NOEL

The Science is Settled. As a physician trained in the low-fat dogma, I’ve had a hard time moving to a high saturated fat diet. But the scientific data is crystal clear. Our current obsession with low fat diets and veggies is killing us with obesity and type II diabetes. High saturated fat and low carb not only tastes wonderful, it’s good for you. It is probably better for you than statins. Great read!

BOOK REVIEW BY LEIB GERSHON MITCHELL

This is a brilliant book. Primarily, it is an expansion of the way that a belief can become entrenched as public policy to deleterious effect. What happens when you put this much power in the hands of people who don’t know what they are doing? Milton Friedman’s example was the Great Depression. It only takes half a dozen idiots to set the world on fire. (Milton Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom.”)ii. There is a great deal of overlap between the Environmental-Religious Movement and the Anti-Saturated Fat Religious Movement. There is some amount of science that is not settled, and there is debate within the Scientific Community about the facts. 2. Government bureaucrats take it over and reinterpret the issue as satisfaction of competing political desires. 3. One side does win, and sets the official government position – – which is extremely evidence resistant for a long time. 4. Many life-quality-years are sacrificed as a result. 5. Everybody who disagrees with this point (which, at this point is Orthodoxy as a result of the state being able to decide who gets funded and who does not) is not simply somebody who has a difference of opinion. Instead they’re branded as heretic and morally depraved. (That story was told in the “Politically Incorrect Guide To Climate Change,” by Marc Morano.). There is always some class of intellectuals somewhere who want to use some idea in their service. And the idea itself is not particularly important. Ideas cannot stand on their own merit, and it it is necessary, in order to popularize said idea, to pamper and flatter men of words in order to gain their allegiance. And this is why the Mediterranean Diet was more successful than many other diets. (Eric Hoffer, The True Believer. Ernest van Den Haag. The Jewish Mystique.)iv. The formation of professional organizations to push dietary recommendations/ fight cancer was something that was created by people who had an ego stake. And what was interpreted as acceptable evidence also was related to the ego stake that proponents may or may not have had and not to the underlying topic itself. ( The Emperor of All Maladies. Siddartha Mukherejee. The Atkins Diet Revolution. Robert Atkins.) Weak evidence can be made to say anything that you want it to say. The steps in gathering evidence and experimental design are so many, that flawed studies get published ALL THE TIME. (Rigor Mortis: How Sloppy Science…… Richard Harris. The Tyranny of Numbers. Nicholas Eberstadt. Tainted Truth. Cynthia Crossen.). There are deeper issues of measurement and testing of medical phenomena. How do you even know that you are measuring what you think you are? (Snowball in a Blizzard, Steven Hatch.) The feedback mechanisms of government are distinctly inferior to those of private companies. If you have a bad product, then you will know that immediately. If the government is pushing a bad product, it might go on for several decades before anyone notices. (Knowledge and Decisions. Thomas Sowell. The End is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome. Kevin Williamson.) In the past several years, trans fats have become Public Enemy Number One. But before that it was saturated fats. And trans fats only came into use because of misconceptions about health concerns about saturated fats. Lots of questions come up as I read the text: Who knew that so much could be written about fat? This is my second book on fat in 30 days, the first one was “The Secret Life of Fat,” by Sylvia Tara. Can you ever believe anything that you read again? After reading this book, you almost don’t want to believe anything that is published by the government. If the government has some official document that says 6*7=42, then you would assume it false after reading Teicholz. How did the author even find all of this information? How long did it take her to set up her narrative arc? This work is exhaustively sourced. 150 pages of bibliography and about 750 articles. (And that probably understates the number–because a good number of those were meta-analyses.) The way that she talks, she actually read the articles and their experimental methods. The way this author wrote it, Ancel Keys was the worst bad guy since Shakespeare’s “Iago.” Will I ever be able to eat anything again? Just today, I went to my favorite kosher restaurant to have some poppers and found myself asking “What kind of oil do you guys use?” (Canola.) Since I keep kosher, I already can’t eat at 99.99% of all other restaurants in the United States. Are even the few choices that I do have to be pulled out from up under me? Other general thoughts: This text was a great recapitulation of how high density carbohydrates are not good, and it was done even better than it was in the Atkins book. Information like this always bears/ needs repeating. This book was a great explanation of other diets. Ornish. Mediterranean.

BOOK REVIEW BY ANDREW RICO

This is probably one of the most important books I have read in the past 10 years. At 48 years old, I have grown up being told that saturated fats were bad and that we should eat mostly carbohydrates (whole grains, rice, pasta, etc). It turns out that the science just doesn’t support that. This is an extraordinarily well-written book by an author without an agenda. I didn’t read this with a goal of losing weight as I am pretty fit and exercise every day. I have had problems with PVCs (extra abnormal heart beats) and high blood pressure though. Since eating a higher fat diet and limiting carbs to just dinner for the past 3-4 months, the PVCs have gone away and my blood pressure has come down. My level of HDL (good cholesterol) went up and triglycerides went down. I also lost 7-8 pounds. More importantly, I feel better – more energy and sustained mental clarity throughout the day. I would also recommend “Grain Brain” by Perlmutter.

BOOK REVIEW BY QUANTUM RACER

Outstanding work describing the history of nutrition and how science may be corrupted. Ms. Teicholtz has done a wonderful job describing how we came to be in a situation where obesity, insulin resistance, cardiovascular disease, high blood pressure and a host of other chronic diseases are widespread today (2018). She does this by describing how strong wills believing that fat=bad, carbs=good, big dollars (grants, large food interests, and (not mentioned by Ms. Teicholtz) pharmaceuticals were all able to influence public policy and ultimately the diet of most of the civilized world. Many myths are laid bare and shattered. The Mediterranean diet, for example, exactly what is it, is there really a diet that all peoples who live along the Mediterranean eat? (no). I initially thought this would overlap too much with the Gary Taube’s books (Good Calories, Bad Calories, Why we get fat, the case against sugar) and Dr. Catherine Shanahn’s Deep Nutrition but instead it is a nice complement to them,. Ms. Teicholtz has obviously put a lot of time and effort (not always the same) into this work and it is very illuminating. I for one am most appreciative that she took the effort to write this book.

BOOK REVIEW BY DICK BURKHART

If you like real-life thrillers, science, and medicine, this is it. The low-fat diet promoted by Ancel Keyes and others has been a massive fraud ever since its beginnings in the early 1950s. It’s the most amazing story of one of the most catastrophic medical failures in human history: It played a pivotal role in promoting the current epidemic of obesity, diabetes, heart disease, stroke, and cancer. Nina is like a scientific sleuth, ferreting out all the bad science in all the prestigious studies, while interviewing all the key players who are still alive and laying bare the politics. It had been proven well before Keyes launched his crusade against saturated fat that it could not have been the cause of the escalation of heart attacks. Just the extraordinary health of the Inuit, on the world’s highest diet of saturated fat (and no carbs) was proof enough, and most other indigenous groups could also have been used as proof. By the time studies had finally exonerated saturated fat, the blame had been shifted to cholesterol, then on to LDL cholesterol, now to oxidized and small dense LDL cholesterol. The real culprit, was, of course, laying there, growing fat, in plain sight the whole time. Just read Gary Taubes’ book “The Case Against Sugar”. It is now clear that the immediate cause of most heart disease is inflammation. So the question, should be, “What causes this inflammation?”. The short answer: “Insulin resistance” is the dominant cause, which is where the sugar comes in, though other factors are also sometimes important, such as smoking and plant lectins like gluten (see Steven Gundry’s book on “The Plant Paradox”). Inflammation can damage the arterial walls directly, as well as the LDL. Statin pills reduce the risk of heart attacks in some people, at least a little, not because they reduce LDL, which is highly beneficial, especially for healthy cell membranes, but because they reduce inflammation. Search for a “spacedoc” (Duane Gravelin) article on “Inflammation and Heart Disease”. But a diet that is low in carbs, especially sugar, and high in fats, especially saturated fat, is an order of magnitude more effective in reducing inflammation and its manifold consequences. The biggest weakness in Teicholz’s book is that it does not dive into these topics like it could have, ending with the chapter on “Why Saturated Fat Is Good for You”, instead of one on “Why Cholesterol Is Also Good for You”. Having had a mild heart attack, fixed by a stent, 6 months ago, my cardiologist put me on rosuvostatin. After learning how this works, or rather, doesn’t work, I’ve taken myself off the statin. Actually I hadn’t done that badly over the last 30 years, with lots of hiking and biking and a mostly veggie diet supplemented by dairy and fish, with carbs and sugars kept in check. In fact, the ratios from my lipoprotein panel (total cholesterol / HDL, etc) were right on, or were better than, the targets values, showing how weak these tests are. Thanks to Nina’s book and others, like “Eat Rich, Live Long” by Cummins & Gerber, I’m well into a strong low carb – high fat diet and doing much better. One more note: Contrary to what Teicholz suggests, olive oil was used for cooking in ancient times, not just for lamps and ointments. Just read the Bible. Cooking may have been the least glamorous of its many uses, but olive oil was, perhaps, the most valuable trading commodity in the Roman Empire.

BOOK REVIEW BY ARIEL DYBNER

Where to begin? This book is brilliant. I dare you to read this book and Gary Taubes’ books, “Why We Get Fat” and “The Case Against Sugar” and not change your eating habits. In the past five months, following a mostly meat, eggs and cheese diet, with no fruits or vegetables to speak of, I’ve dropped 38 pounds. In addition, I have much less gas and much more energy than before. Before changing my diet, I was rigorously exercising but no losing any weight. What this book brings to the debate as opposed to Taubes’ work is a focus on the unknowns and potential dangers of using vegetable oils in large quantities. What it also brings to light is how dangerous a misinformed government can be and how easily swayed scientists and journalists are by swank conference locations. It makes me want to offer a modest proposal that all medical conferences be held in North Dakota in February.

BOOK REVIEW BY S. WOOD

The proven science of nutrition is not science. We as a nation and as leaders in the world were led to the low-fat diet by a group of zealots who claimed that science had proven that the changed diet would lower the rate of heart attacks. It would make us healthier. But there was no science behind those claims. And the rates of heart attacks increased. And it continues to increase. This book tells how we got here. What made many populations across the world change from a fatty diet of whole foods to the low-fat, disease causing, fake-food-filled diet we eat today? Type 2 diabetes has increased from1% of the adult population to 10%, with another 20% of prediabetics. And T2D now affects children; even infants are T2D victims. Heart disease rates have sky-rocketed, as has obesity and strokes. All thanks to this killer low-fat diet that is common around the world. Ms. Teicholz exposes some of those who gain from this diet. They get wealthier and wealthier, with no concern for the health care disaster they continue to promote. An interesting object lesson is the parallels drawn with the tabocco industry during the time they were claiming that smoking was safe. This book is quick and easy to read, but it’s not light reading. In fact, Beware! It may change your life. You might get healthier, as have the thousands who have decided to turn away from the disastrous low-fat advice and to embrace a diet of real food and real fat. This book has changed my view of the world in a huge way. My family thinks I am becoming a zealot. They may be correct.

THE POLITIALLY INCORRECT GUIDE TO CLIMATE CHANGE BY MARC MORANO

BOOK REVIEW BY PAUL W.

Marc Morano’s book cites many scientific studies that indicate: (1) Historical records of global warming show that temperature increases begin hundreds of years before carbon dioxide (CO2) levels follow. Plants and animals flourished in past ages when CO2 levels were more than twice as high as now. (2) At least 90% of greenhouse gas warming is due to water vapor and clouds; thus, CO2 level deserves less concern. (3) Hurricanes, floods, droughts, and tornadoes have been less frequent during years after 1988 than before 1988, when atmospheric CO2 was 15% lower. (4) Since computer models failed to predict the slowdown in rate of global warming between 1998 and 2013, they cannot reliably forecast climate changes decades in the future. (5) EPA’s Clean Power Plan would not significantly reduce global CO2 emissions. In 2025, total annual CO2 emissions by USA would be offset by three weeks of CO2 emissions by China. (6) UN’s 2015 Paris Climate Agreement would reduce global temperature about one degree Centigrade by 2100 AD, but would cost many trillions of dollars, would subjugate economic independence of participating nations, and would require global wealth redistribution. (7) Eliminating use of fossil fuels for electricity generation would deny developing countries the opportunity to electrify and improve living conditions. In sub-Saharan Africa, gas-fired power projects would supply electricity for three times as many people as renewable energy projects would supply for the same cost.

BOOK REVIEW BY KELLY HARBESON

If nothing else, this book should correct anyone who believes in the 97% consensus on climate change. Many of the leading climatologists are dismayed that what should be a question of science has become almost totally political and like a religion to the true believers. Here are men and women that are giants in their fields of study standing up and saying “bo-o-o-Gus!” Morano has the guts to call out the Climate Change alarmists for their entention to keep Africa poor to address a non-existent problem.

BOOK REVIEW BY DON ESTREICH

This book brings up a number of facts and issues that the climate alarmists gloss over or simply do not answer. I was taught in graduate school that you have to weight all sides (or information) before drawing far reaching conclusions. There is a middle ground in the climate debate — find it for yourself.

BOOK REVIEW BY JANET DENNISON

It is so good to know that not all mainstream scientists blindly accept man caused climate change as true. There are plenty of contradictions to the current politically correct verbiage on climate change. This was the most informative book I have read in a long time

BOOK REVIEW BY DR DOLPHIN

I’m an environmental scientist and find the arguments within to be so inaccurate/incorrect as to be laughable. A climate change denying conspiracy theory rant written by a non-scientist from a ultra conservative think tank. Full of cherry picked, refuted and misinterpreted studies. If you want actual facts on climate change avoid. From what I can see in the reviews this is primarily being purchased by climate change deniers and conspiracy theorists to reinforce their bias, rather than anyone seriously wanting to know the truth about climate change.

BOOK REVIEW BY KARA

Seriously, this book brings it all together for those of us who independently sought the truth about catastrophic man-made warming. Thank you, Mr. Morano.

BOOK REVIEW BY SCOTT MCDANIEL

Great read, goes into quite a bit of detail about how and why the concept of Anthropogenic Climate Change is seriously flawed (and seriously politicized). Lots and lots of source notes, unlike many others, so you can review those sources to determine if they are valid.

BOOK REVIEW BY AMBER KERR

I am angry that my local bookstore is even selling “The Politically Incorrect Guide to Climate Change.” In terms of its factual baselessness and its moral abhorrence, it is on par with books propagating anti-vaccine paranoia or anti-Semitic conspiracy theories. This book promulgates dangerous falsehoods. Anthropogenic climate change is happening, and it has already killed many people. It is on track to kill millions more people (to say nothing of other species) if we do not take the problem seriously. Given the wealth of technical and non-technical information resources available on climate science, I have to assume that the author is intentionally lying for fun and profit. I cannot condemn his actions in strong enough terms. Here are two representative examples of the book’s content. The first is from the outright “Lies” category. The author claims that the large majority of the greenhouse effect is due to water vapor, and that therefore it is foolish to worry about human-caused emissions of the other greenhouse gases, which are relatively minor in comparison.

BOOK REVIEW BY GERARD

This excellent book exposes the deliberate lie of ‘man made climate change’. Real fact based science has been condemned and suppressed by political agendas, biased media and big money. This is a brave, honest and well researched book, and is essential reading for anyone who wants to cut through the global warming propaganda machine. Essential reading if you are interested in the truth, and having the ability to challenge the ridiculous scare mongering nonsense of global warming alarmists.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION

HERE WE FIND THAT SIGNIFICANT SCIENCE ERRORS IN CLIMATE CHANGE SCIENCE DESCRIBED IN VARIOUS POSTS ON THIS SITE (LINKS BELOW) AND BY MARC MORANO ABOVE ARE NOT AS EXCEPTIONAL AS ONE MIGHT THINK AS WE SEE IN THE DIET RESEARCH EXAMPLE DESCRIBED BY NINA TEICHOLZ ABOVE. HOWEVER THESE TWO EXAMPLES OF SCIENCE ERROR LIKELY DIFFER IN TERMS OF CAUSE. WHEREAS IN THE CASE OF THE DIET RESEARCH, UNSUPPORTED ASSUMPTIONS WERE THE PRIMARY AND ONLY DRIVER OF ERROR, THE CASE IN CLIMATE SCIENCE MAY INVOLVE THE ADDITIONAL DRIVER OF ERROR IN THE FORM OF FEAR APPEAL ACTIVISM AGAINS FOSSIL FUELS DESCRIBED IN A RELATED POST: LINK://tambonthongchai.com/2021/07/22/fear-appeal-in-climate-change/

THE TAKE HOME CONCLUSION FROM THE WORK OF NINA TEICHOLZ IS THAT THE DESCRIPTION OF RESEARCH AS “SCIENCE” OR “SETTLED SCIENCE”, OR “CONSENSUS SCIENCE” AND THE DESCRIPTION OF THE RESEARCHERS AS “SCIENTISTS” DO NOT CONSTITUTE A GUARANTEE THAT THE RESEARCH FINDINGS ARE THEREFORE CORRECT AND THAT THEY CANNOT AND MUST NOT BE QUESTIONED SUCH THAT ANY ATTEMPT TO DO SO CAN BE UNDERSTOOD AS “SCIENCE DENIAL” AND THE INDIVIDUALS INVOLVED DESCRIBED AS “DENIERS”.

WE FURTHER PROPOSE, THAT SUCH AGGRESSIVE STRATEGIES TO DISCOURAGE CRITICAL EVALUATION SUGGEST WEAKNESSES IN THE ANALYSIS THAT NEED TO BE PROTECTED FROM CRITICS.

EXAMPLES OF CLIMATE SCIENCE ISSUES THAT WHEN RAISED ARE DISMISSED AS SCIENCE DENIAL

LINK#1: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/05/18/climate-science-vs-statistics/

LINK#2: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/04/22/climate-science-uncertainty/

LINK#3: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/12/11/climate-action-101-the-carbon-budget/

LINK#4: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/07/climate-change-threatens-polar-ice/

LINK#5: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/09/25/list-of-arctic-sea-ice-posts/

THESE ARE JUST FIVE OUR OF MANY SUCH ERRORS CITED IN THE MANY HUNDREDS OF BLOG POSTS ON THIS SITE WITH THE ONLY RESPONSE FROM CLIMATE SCIENTISTS BEING THAT SUCH CRITICAL EVALUATION MAKES THE CRITIC A SCIENCE DENIER AND THEREFORE NOT CREDIBLE.

THAT CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CAN BE DESCRIBED AS SCIENCE DOES NOT IMPLY THAT THEREFORE THERE ARE NO ERRORS IN THE DATA, THE DATA ANALYSIS, THE METHODOLOGY, THE STATISTICS, OR THE ASSUMPTIONS.

THIS POST IS A DISCUSSION OF THE NEW JAMES LOVELOCK BOOK THAT SEES CLIMATE CHANGE THROUGH HIS GAIA HYPOTHESIS. THE BOOK SAYS THAT EARTH (GAIA) IS FIGHTING AGAINST HUMAN CIVILIZATION AND THAT THIS FIGHT IS THE CAUSE OF CLIMATE CHANGE. THE GAIA HYPOTHESIS IS THAT THE EARTH IS NOT AN INERT PIECE OF ROCK WITH LIFE ON IT BUT IS ITSELF A LIVING BEING.

THE BOOK IS TITLED “REVENGE OF GAIA” AND HERE IS WHAT IT SAYS ABOUT GAIA AND CLIMATE CHANGE

The book “Revenge of Gaia: Why the Earth is Fighting Back and How we can Still Save Humanity”

This book is is a dire warning against the unchecked growth of civilization. ‘Despite all our efforts to retreat sustainably, we may be unable to prevent a global decline into a chaotic world ruled by brutal warlords on a devastated Earth…’ For thousands of years, humans have exploited the planet without counting the cost. Now Gaia, the living Earth, is fighting back. As the polar icecaps shrink and the global temperature rises, we approach the point of no return. Sustainable development, Lovelock argues, is no longer possible, and the only open to us may be a ‘sustainable retreat’. This is the one book you must read to find out what is happening, how bad it will get – and how we can survive. ‘The most important book for decades’ Andrew Marr ‘The most important book ever to be published on the environmental crisis … Lovelock will go down in history as the scientist who changed our view of the Earth’ John Gray, Independent ‘Truly terrifying … Lovelock’s arguments carry more conviction than anyone else’s now writing’ Peter Forbes, Daily Mail James Lovelock is the author of more than 200 scientific papers and the originator of the Gaia Hypothesis (now Gaia Theory). He has written several books on the subject, including Gaia: A New Look at Life on Earth, The Ages of Gaia and The Vanishing Face of Gaia as well as an autobiography, Homage to Gaia. In September 2005 Prospect magazine named him as one of the world’s top 100 global public intellectuals

CRITICAL COMMENTARY

THE ESSENTIAL HYPOTHESIS HERE IS THAT THE EARTH IS FIGHTING BACK AGAINST THE UNRESTRAINED GROWTH OF HUMAN CIVILIZATION AND THE RESULT IS CLIMATE CHANGE. IT IS A CASE OF ECO WACKO ACTIVISM GONE OVER THE EDGE. A FURTHER ISSUE IS THAT IF THE EARTH KNOWS HOW TO FIGHT HUMANS IT SHOULD ALSO KNOW HOW TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE.

IN A RELATED POST ON A SIMILAR ICONIC AUTHOR WITH A SIMILAR ECO WACKO AGENDA, WE DISCUSS THE SEMINAL WORKS OF GARRETT HARDIN. WHAT THESE AUTHORS HAVE IN COMMON IS THE IDEA THAT THE EARTH, WHETHER A LIVING BEING (GAIA), OR JUST ROCKS (PLANET), IS THREATENED BY ADVANCES IN HUMAN CIVILIZATION AND THEREFORE THE HUMANS MUST DEVISE THINGS LIKE “SUSTAINABILITY” ECO WACKO ENVIRONMENTALISM TO SAVE THE PLANET FROM THEMSELVES BECAUSE WITHOUT ECO WACKO SUSTAINABILITY THE EARTH AS WE KNOW IT WILL BE DESTROYED BY UNCHECKED GROWTH OF HUMAN CIVILIZATION SUCH THAT IN THAT DESTRUCTION THE HUMANS TOO WILL BE DESTROYED.

THESE FEAR APPEAL AND FEARMONGERING ARGUMENTS, THOUGH THEY HAVE GAINED A SIGNIFICANT FOLLOWING, HAVE YET TO BE ACCEPTED UNIVERSALLY OR TO BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY AND SO IT HAS BEEN ON THE BACK BURNER COOKING AWAY EVER SO SLOWLY AND WITHOUT A MAJOR IMPACT ON THE ADVANCE AND PROGRESS OF HUMAN CIVILIZATION AND HUMAN POPULATION. IT SEEMED THAT THE ECO WACKO ENVIRONMENTALISM OF THESE PEOPLE WOULD NEVER REALLY GET OFF THE BACK BURNER. BUT THEN ALONG CAME CLIMATE CHANGE WITH THE EXCESSES OF HUMANS DESCRIBED BY THE ECO WACKOS NOW BLAMED FOR THE HELLISH HORRORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE THAT AWAIT US IF WE DON’T SUBSCRIBE TO THOSE SUSTAINABILITY ARGUMENTS.

AND IT IS THUS THAT THE CLIMATE CHANGE FEARMONGERING OF OUR TIME HAS RE-WAKENED AND RE-VITALIZED AND GIVEN NEW LIFE TO ECO WACKOISM AND THE LOVELOCKS OF THE WORLD ARE NOW CRAWLING OUT OF THEIR GRAVES TO GIVE THEIR ECO WACKOISM ANOTHER SHOT IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE.

RELATED POSTS

THE BAMBI PRINCIPLE: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/11/15/the-bambi-principle/

EXCERPT: The forest is presented as a kind of idealized human-free world where nature can frolic. Unless humans arrive, animals of all species live without fear in a “paradise” untouched by human hands where even owls have morphed into vegetarians. Here all interaction with humans, and only with humans, end in death or suffering. There is a complete separation of nature into two worlds – humans and humanless nature. The big issue in modern environmentalism is that it has been extended into the Anthropocene. It is described as a paradise lost where humans have seized control of nature and of the planet. This construct of environmentalism is one where Bambi played a role.

THE ORIGIN OF ECO WACKO: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/08/22/the-origin-of-eco-wacko/

EXCERPT: Hardin saw all humans as selfish herders: we worry that our neighbors’ cattle will graze the best grass. So, we send more of our cows out to consume that grass first. We take it first, before someone else steals our share. This creates a vicious cycle of environmental degradation that Hardin described as the “tragedy of the commons.”, i.e., competition among humans for nature’s best products is destructive. In that context it is relevant that Hardin subscriibed to EUGENICS as well as to human overpopulation. He also promoted what he called LIFEBOAT ETHICS which holds that since global resources are finite, the rich should throw the poor overboard to keep their boat above water. It is not a good idea for the rich to help the poor. Hardin’s works are filled with fear-mongering proclaiming that freedom to breed is intolerable. He wrote that it is better for children of improvident parents to starve to death.

BIBLICAL ENVIRONMENTALISM IN GENESIS: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/02/15/divine-environmentalism/

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ANTHROPOCENE ECO WACKOISM: https://tambonthongchai.com/2021/07/04/will-steffen-the-anthropocene-man/

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MORE ANTHROPOCENE STUFF: https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/09/22/things-eco-nuts-worry-about/

EXCERPT: Not so long ago, the very nature of planet Earth suffered a devastating rupture. The break was sudden, global, and irreversible. It happened on a Sunday within living memory. Mick Jagger, Meryl Streep, and Caitlyn Jenner were all born before this crack in time. Vladimir Putin, Liam Neeson, and Mr. T were all born after it. That idea might soon carry the weight of scientific fact. Later this month, a committee of researchers from around the world will decide whether the Earth sprang into the Anthropocene in the year 1950. If accepted, this delineation will signal a new reality, that human activities, not natural processes, are now the dominant driver of change on Earth’s surface—that carbon pollution, climate change, deforestation, factory farms, mass die-offs, and enormous road networks have made a greater imprint on the planet than any other force in the past 12,000 years.

IRRELEVANCE OF HUMANS ON A PLANETARY SCALE https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/03/30/the-humans-must-save-the-planet/

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